And there there was one

Obama passed the Iowa caucuses with flying colors and this strong lead has carried him to today, one day before the election. Iowa will go Obama.

Despite talk of the Bradley Effect, several other factors give Obama an extra push.

First, he is soaring in the polls and has been since February.
Second, the Bradley Effect occurs almost like a fluke. Several other black candidates across the country have faced the Bradley Effect and beat it. It is a possible but no probable in Obama's case.
Third, Iowans are in the heart of the U.S., their trends mirror national trends. The economy is the most important issue in Iowa, and not national security. This is where Obama has an extreme edge over McCain.
Fourth, McCain finished only fourth in the Iowa Republican Caucuses, so he was not a favorite there to begin with.
And lastly, we know Obama's lead by McCain's campaign stops in Iowa. Just a few weeks ago, McCain has all but given up on Iowa. It would seem that giving up on Iowa would reinforce Obama's lead. But in fact, because McCain has been campaigning in Iowa shows he is getting nervous of Obama's lead. McCain is getting nervous in nearly every state, whether Obama is winning there or not. He does not want it to appear that he has lost Iowa, when he actually has.

Unless we have a UFO (unforeseen occurance), Iowa will go to Obama tomorrow.